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Excess mortality is an important measure of the scale of the coronavirus-2019 pandemic. It includes both deaths caused directly by the pandemic, and deaths caused by the unintended consequences of containment such as delays to accessing care or postponements of healthcare provision in the population. In 2020 and 2021, in England, multiple groups have produced measures of excess mortality during the pandemic.
Bhutan has achieved a substantial reduction in both malaria morbidity and mortality over the last two decades and is aiming for malaria elimination certification in 2025. However, a significant percentage of malaria cases in Bhutan are imported (acquired in another country). The aim of the study was to understand how importation drives local malaria transmission in Bhutan.
Monitoring how the incidence of influenza infections changes over time is important for quantifying the transmission dynamics and clinical severity of influenza. Infection incidence is difficult to measure directly, and hence, other quantities which are more amenable to surveillance are used to monitor trends in infection levels, with the implicit assumption that they correlate with infection incidence.
Testing and treating symptomatic malaria cases is crucial for case management, but it may also prevent future illness by reducing mean infection duration. Measuring the impact of effective treatment on burden and transmission via field studies or routine surveillance systems is difficult and potentially unethical. This project uses mathematical modeling to explore how increasing treatment of symptomatic cases impacts malaria prevalence and incidence.
Adam Punam Susan Tolu Saddler Amratia Rumisha Okitika PhD PhD PhD (Biostatistics) EMBA, GAICD, PMP, MPH, BSc Senior Research Officer Honorary
Punam Susan Tasmin Amratia Rumisha Symons PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate
Punam Susan Tasmin Amratia Rumisha Symons PhD PhD (Biostatistics) Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate Honorary Research Associate
Researchers have developed a new model for simulating covid-19 outbreaks in Western Australia.
Honorary Research Associate
New research highlights the long-term physical health problems faced by people who survive drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) .